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Velero Regina · video

Hurricane Erin. Category 5!!

16 August 2025 · 6 min · 1K views · Trinidad

What this video covers

Hurricane Erin intensified faster than forecast, reaching Category 3 with 113-knot winds and a central pressure of 948 hectopascals on 16 August, then projected to strengthen to Category 4 the same day before weakening back to Category 3–2 by the following Tuesday and passing west of Bermuda on Thursday.▶ 0:48 Javi, aboard Regina at a boatyard in Trinidad, tracks the storm using the NOAA National Hurricane Center model on Windy, comparing it against the UKM and ECMWF models.▶ 0:01 He judges the NHC model the most accurate of the three, noting that ECMWF predicted only Category 1 intensity by Monday 18 — already contradicted by real-time conditions.▶ 3:05 Erin formed near Cabo Verde, tracked northwest, and at the time of the update sat more than 500 miles from Trinidad, posing no threat to the southern Caribbean.▶ 4:37 Javi notes Trinidad's position well south of typical hurricane tracks makes direct impacts rare, but commits to monitoring through November.▶ 5:30 The NHC model on Windy outperformed both UKM and ECMWF in tracking Erin's rapid intensification.

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